Germany
shines a beam on the future of energy - Nation gambles on amped-up
push for renewable power
source: Robert
Collier, SF Chronicle 2004.12.20
Muhlhausen, Germany -- A solar-power project built by a Berkeley
company may point Germany toward a pollution-free future.
Set
in the heart of Bavarian farmland, the 30-acre facility went online
earlier this month, becoming the biggest solar energy plant in the
world.
For the government of Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, the Muhlhausen
solar farm represents a gamble that Germany, the world's third biggest
economy, can replace its principal energy sources -- coal, natural
gas, oil and nuclear power -- with clean, safe and renewable alternatives.
"There's a huge amount of opportunity here in Germany because
the government has created a system that encourages large installations,"
said Thomas Dinwoodie, chief executive officer of PowerLight
Corp. of Berkeley, which built and operates the Muhlhausen facility
and two other solar parks nearby.
Germany's approach is being closely watched by officials in California
and elsewhere as a possible model for developing renewable energy.
PowerLight's three Bavarian solar parks, consisting of 57,600 silicon-and-
aluminum panels, will generate 10 megawatts of electricity -- enough
to power 9,000 German homes. The amount of electricity produced
is much less than power plants fueled by coal or natural gas, but
with very low operating costs, the solar project is expected quickly
to turn a profit while emitting zero pollution. Schroeder's left-of-center
Social Democrat-Green coalition has turned Germany into the world
leader in renewable energy since it took office in 1998. Billions
of dollars have been spent on wind and solar projects, and Schroeder,
in a politically risky move, has sharply increased taxes on petroleum
products in an attempt to reduce consumption of conventional fuels.
The campaign accelerated a year ago when Germany enacted a law
forcing electric utility companies -- and, ultimately, all electricity
users -- to pay higher rates to businesses or individuals who generate
solar or wind energy and feed it back into the grid. With this guarantee
of revenue, solar panels have become commonplace on new German houses
and huge new windmills are a typical sight in rural areas, especially
in the more windy north.
"This is part of our commitment as a government, to make Germany
the world leader in alternative energy and in taking action against
global warming, " said Juergen Trittin, Germany's environment
minister. "We are willing to do what is necessary."
The country is now the No. 1 world producer of wind energy, with
more than 16,000 windmills generating 39 percent of the world total,
and it is fast closing in on Japan for the lead in solar power.
Wind and solar energy together provide more than 10 percent of the
nation's electricity, a rate that is expected to double by 2020.
It has become a profitable business, too, with about 60,000 people
employed in the design and manufacture of wind and solar energy
equipment.
Energy analysts and industry executives alike say that California,
which leads other U.S. states in renewable energy development, is
looking to Germany as a laboratory of what works and what doesn't.
Yet even Germany's chief booster of renewable energy warns that
the lessons are mixed.
"This has a political cost," said Trittin, who cheerfully
admitted in an interview that he is "probably one of the less
popular" politicians in the country.
According to recent public opinion polls, close to 80 percent of
Germans support the government's strategy of promoting renewable
energy sources and its staunch advocacy of the Kyoto Protocol's
obligations to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.
Public support is markedly less, however, for the other key element
of the government's anti-oil program. Under a separate law enacted
in 1999, gasoline taxes are increasing by 3 euro cents per liter
per year -- about 15 U.S. cents per gallon -- provoking howls from
commuters and truckers.
"The German people broadly support alternative energy, but
Trittin has pushed the limits of that support," said Michael
Kohlhaas, an energy policy analyst at the German Institute for Economic
Research in Berlin. Increasing numbers of Germans are even finding
the ever-present windmills an eyesore.
"Opposition to wind farms is growing fast, but none of the
major political parties are prepared to listen to voters' concerns,"
said Hans- Joachim Mengel, a political science professor at Berlin
Free University. "They are ideologically committed to wind
as a source of alternative energy and don't want it questioned."
In September, Mengel ran a quixotic independent campaign for state
assembly in Brandenburg, on the Berlin outskirts. Running on an
anti-wind platform, he beat all expectations by winning 19 percent
of the vote.
"A few people make money from (wind power), but everybody
else gets nothing," he said. "Why should I sacrifice my
landscape so that Herr Mueller down the road can make money by leasing
out his land for a wind park?"
Germany's use of alternative energy puts it far in front of environmentally
conscious California, where Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has
been a vocal proponent of renewable fuel sources. On Dec. 13, California
officials set a goal of 1 million buildings in California powered
by solar energy by 2018, including half of all new homes. They did
not offer details of how the target will be achieved, though officials
said they are considering a charge on electricity bills to pay for
up to $1 billion for investment credits to solar manufacturers and
for an extension of existing income and property tax credits to
homeowners who install solar panels.
Increasing numbers of U.S. businesses have joined environmental
groups to push President Bush to embrace alternative energy. Instead,
the administration has blocked attempts in Congress to adopt specific
goals and timelines for increasing renewable sources and has emphasized
oil, natural gas and coal exploration.
"Germany's policy is a more mixed and balanced strategy than
to look under the sands of the Arabian peninsula," Trittin
said, referring to U.S. reliance on Persian Gulf oil. "This
is more the European way. There are 6 billion people on this globe.
You will not solve our need for energy with fossil fuels or nuclear
plants. You will do it by substituting with renewables. "
But Germany's experience suggests that the profit motive is the
key -- alternative energy sectors grow fastest when users are able
to make money on the energy they generate.
A law that has been in effect for a year stipulates that the nation's
electric utility companies must buy all wind and solar power generated
by residential, commercial and industrial users at a price 10 times
higher than the rate that users are charged for the electricity
provided by the utilities from coal, nuclear or natural gas plants.
Enticed by the guarantee of selling electricity at 46 euro cents
(about 62 U.S. cents) per kilowatt hour for the next 20 years, as
stipulated by the new rule, Berkeley's PowerLight Corp. needed no
further prompting. CEO Dinwoodie went to a large investment bank
in Frankfurt, Deutsche Structured Finance, and got a $65 million
investment.
"The financers don't care about solar per se, and that's why
this system works here," said Dinwoodie. "This is conventional
financing, this is the market itself working. There is no government
spending." Dinwoodie is so bullish on Germany that he opened
an office in the small city of Regensburg, near the Muhlhausen project,
and his wife and two children moved from Berkeley in August to live
with him there. He now is busy lining up new solar investment projects
around the country.
Under California utility regulations, by contrast, users are only
able to draw their bills down to zero, with no profit possible.
As a result, solar installations are small and large commercial
facilities like PowerLight's Muhlhausen farm are impossible.
"California at one time led the world in renewable energy
development, but we gave up that role two decades ago," said
Paul Gipe, a wind policy expert from Kern County. Gipe is currently
in Canada as acting executive director of the Ontario Sustainable
Energy Association, working with the provincial government to enact
a German-style system of preferential pricing for renewable energy.
"Germany has picked up that banner and is running with it,"
Gipe said. "Germany now has the manufacturing jobs that California
once had. If we want these manufacturing jobs, then we'd better
look at what the Germans are doing, and the simplest thing to do
is simply translate the German policy into English and put it into
effect."
Other analysts are more cautious.
Mark Levine, director of the Environmental Energy Technologies
Division at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, said that California
has gone further than Europe in making its factories and commercial
buildings more energy-efficient, yet Germany leads the state by
far in wind and solar. "Germany's policies are not going to
be a direct model for California because our political situations
are so different," he said. "But Europe has taken major
steps recently, and Germany most of all, largely because of its
commitment under Kyoto. People are watching carefully."
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